I heard someone interviewed on NPR this morning (a Joe Six-Pack alcoholic, or a Hockey Mom SUV driver, no doubt) say she was scared of an Obama victory. And I knew what she meant, except that I’m scared of a McCain victory (or more specifically, a McCain/PALIN victory). But the way I figure it, we’re
Why the Polls Don’t Say
The tough thing about polls is that they always have flaws. Question order effects, the tone of the taker, poor wording, small sample sizes: all these things can cause the differences we see in polls. That’s why so many national polls have such large margin of error (4-5 points). That kind of attribution to chance




